BOOK
An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Robert Alan Yaffee | Monnie McGee
(2000)
Additional Information
Book Details
Abstract
Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques.
- Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting
- Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology
- Math level pitched to general social science usage
- Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels
From the prepublication reviews
"Robert Yaffee has performed an invaluable service to students of time series analysis by preparing an introduction to methods for analysing time series data that includes examples drawn from the social sciences, and demonstrates how to program the procedures in SPSS and SAS. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting will be a standard reference for years to come."
-DAVID F. GREENBERG, New York University, New York