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Post-Truth

Post-Truth

Steve Fuller

(2018)

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Abstract

‘Post-truth’ was Oxford Dictionaries 2016 word of the year. While the term was coined by its disparagers in the light of the Brexit and US presidential campaigns, the roots of post-truth lie deep in the history of Western social and political theory. Post-Truth reaches back to Plato, ranging across theology and philosophy, to focus on the Machiavellian tradition in classical sociology, as exemplified by Vilfredo Pareto, who offered the original modern account of post-truth in terms of the ‘circulation of elites’. The defining feature of ‘post-truth’ is a strong distinction between appearance and reality which is never quite resolved and so the strongest appearance ends up passing for reality. The only question is whether more is gained by rapid changes in appearance or by stabilizing one such appearance. Post-Truth plays out what this means for both politics and science.


Steve Fuller is the Auguste Comte Professor of Social Epistemology in the Department of Sociology at the University of Warwick, UK. Originally trained in history and philosophy of science, Fuller pioneered the field of ‘social epistemology’ in a quarterly journal that he founded in 1987 as well as in more than twenty books. His most recent books are Knowledge: The Philosophical Quest in History (2015) and The Academic Caesar (2016).


‘Steve Fuller takes the concept of post-truth to a new level of analysis, explaining the history of “meta” thinking about truth, the institutional structuring of truth through “rules of the game”, and the forms of knowledge that go beyond and problematize this kind of truth. Fuller skewers contemporary thinkers who are in denial about the problematic character of institutional truth and wish to occlude or ignore the processes by which it is produced, and who invent philosophical rationalizations for this denial. This is a readable, bravura performance that develops themes from his earlier writings.’
—Stephen Turner, Distinguished University Professor, University of South Florida, USA


‘Post-Truth’ was Oxford Dictionary’s 2016 word of the year. While the term was coined by its disparagers, especially in light of the Brexit and US Presidential campaigns, the roots of post-truth lie deep in the history of Western social and political theory. This book reaches back to Plato, ranges across theology and philosophy, and focuses on the Machiavellian tradition in classical sociology. The key figure here is Vilfredo Pareto, who offered the original modern account of post-truth in terms of the ‘circulation of elites’, whereby ‘lions’ and ‘foxes’ vie for power by accusing each other of illegitimacy, based on allegations of speaking falsely either about what they have done (lions) or what they will do (foxes). The defining feature of ‘post-truth’ is a strong distinction between appearance and reality which is never quite resolved, which means that the strongest appearance ends up passing for reality. The only question is whether more is gained by rapid changes in appearance (foxes) or by stabilizing one such appearance (lions). This book plays out what all this means for both politics and science.

Post-truth should be seen as largely a continuation of the last forty years of postmodernism, especially in its deconstructive guise. Both postmodernism and post-truth publicly display a strong anti-authoritarian, democratic streak. Yet it is also a legacy rooted in Plato, who acknowledged an eternal power struggle – done in the name of ‘truth’ – between those who uphold adherence to the past and those who uphold openness to the future. Later, Machiavelli, and still later Vilfredo Pareto, described these two positions as ‘lions’ and ‘foxes’, respectively. Moreover, there has always been concern that if the struggle between the lions and foxes is made public, the social fabric will disintegrate altogether, as happened to Athens in Plato’s day. The ancient and medieval support for a ‘double truth’ doctrine (i.e. one for the elites and one for the masses), as carried over in modern conceptions of censorship, articulate these misgivings. In early twentieth century, Pareto based a general theory of society on this struggle. Pareto’s legacy left the most lasting impression in the US through the Harvard biochemist Lawrence Henderson. Henderson convened a ‘Pareto Circle’ in the late 1930s, which influenced the young Thomas Kuhn, author of the most influential account of science in the second half of the twentieth century, ‘The Structure of Scientific Revolutions’. What distinguishes science from politics is that in science the lions normally rule because they suppress contested features of their history until their own internal disagreements about how to interpret puzzling findings force a ‘crisis’ and finally ‘revolution’, during which the scientific foxes are briefly in control.

The book is concerned with the implications of a systematically post-truth perspective on academic knowledge production, which is largely seen as a vulnerable target. It turns out that military and industrial attitudes towards knowledge production have always embodied a post-truth perspective. The book also suggests an academic course of study for a post-truth world. The course would put less emphasis on content and more on skills, especially those involving the propagation and deconstruction of content, much of which is normally associated with marketing, public relations as well as aesthetic and literary criticism. In addition, the course would focus on arguments relating to the avoidance (lions) or acceptance (foxes) of risk. It would also examine the contrasting Orwellian practices involved in constructing canonical (lions) and revisionist (foxes) histories. The twentieth century interwar debate between Walter Lippmann (lion) and Edward Bernays (fox) over the meaning of a public philosophy in an era of mass media would be a centrepiece.


‘Alfred Jarry said, “Cliches are the armature of the Absolute.” Steve Fuller provokes us to think past clichés about truth that we default to in the face of scepticism about expertise. He provides an account of issues in play in “post-truth”, epistemic populist circumstances, and traces their lineage in an illuminating way.’
—Fred D’Agostino, Professor of Humanities, The University of Queensland, Australia

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Cover Cover 1
Front Matter i
Half-title i
Series information ii
Title page iii
Copyright information iv
Dedication v
Table of contents vii
Acknowledgements ix
Chapter Int-7 1
Introduction Science and Politics in a Post-Truth Era: Pareto'S Hidden Hand 1
Chapter 1 Brexit: Political Expertise Confronts the will of the People 9
Introduction 9
The Anti-expert Turn in Politics and Science 10
How the Anti-experts Beat the Experts at Their Own Game in Brexit 14
How the Anti-experts Ended Up Scoring an Own Goal in the Brexit Game 18
Chapter 2 What Philosophy does and does not Teach us About the Post-Truth Condition 25
A Post-Truth History of Truth 25
The Birth of Rhetoric as the Crucible of the Post-Truth Imaginary 28
The Modal Power of the Entertainment Industry 37
How Truth Looks to Post-Truth: Veritism as ‘Fake Philosophy’ 41
Consensus: Manufactured Consent as the Regulative Ideal of Science? 47
Chapter 3 Sociology and Science and Technology Studies as Post-Truth Sciences 53
Sociology and the Social Construction of Identity 53
Science and Technology Studies and Scientific Gamesmanship 58
Chapter 4 The Post-Truth About Academia: Undiscovered Public Knowledge 69
Introduction: Academia’s Epistemic Shortfalls and Entitlement Pretensions 69
The Challenge of Academic Rentiership and Its Interdisciplinary Antidote 74
The Cult of Success and the Military-Industrial Will to Knowledge 81
The Corporation as the Hub of the Military-Industrial Will to Knowledge 87
Conclusion: The Cautionary Tale of Fritz Haber and Larger Lessons for Interdisciplinarity 92
Appendix: Prolegomena to a Deep History of ‘Information Overload’ 94
Chapter 5 Science Customization: A Project for the Post-Truth Condition 107
Protscience: Science Upfront and Personal 107
The Public Intellectual as the Proto-Protscientist 110
The Science Customer Who Need Not Be a Science Consumer 114
The Role of Customized Science in the Future of Democracy and the University 118
Interlude: Wikipedia – A Democratic Cure Worse Than Its Elitist Disease? 125
Historical Precedents and Future Prospects for an Adequate Scientific Response to Customized Science 130
Chapter 6 The Performance of Politics and Science on the Playing Field of Time 135
The Weberian Dialectic: Where Political Philosophy and Philosophy of Science Meet 135
Modal Power and the Fine Art of Actualizing the Possible 139
‘As If’: The Politics and Science of the Fact-Fiction Distinction 142
The Quantum Nature of Modal Power 145
Prolegomena to a Quantum Historiography of Modal Power 147
Chapter 7 Forecasting: The Future as the Post-Truth Playground 151
Introduction: The Alchemy of Deriving Truth from Error 151
Prediction: The Past’s Relevance to the Future 153
Does Science Help or Harm Forecasting? The Fate of Punditry as Expertise 157
Learning to Think the Unthinkable: Post-Truth’s Proving Ground 163
Superforecasting: The Fine Art of Always Preparing for Doomsday 167
Conclusion: From Superforecasting to Precipitatory Governance 174
The Argument in a Nutshell 181
End Matter 183
Glossary 183
References 195
Index 205