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Against the Grain: Insights from an Economic Contrarian

Against the Grain: Insights from an Economic Contrarian

Paul Ormerod | Christian May

(2018)

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Book Details

Abstract

Economists and economics have been harshly criticised recently. This book accepts many of the criticisms of conventional theory but argues that the fundamental insights of economics are capable of reinterpretation and reinvention to deal with a host of contemporary concerns – social networks, globalisation, pay inequality, climate change, automation and the growth of ‘nudge’ policy amongst many others. The author uses his weekly column in the London business newspaper City A.M. to explain new developments in economic thinking and empirical research to a general audience. This book reproduces many of his most provocative columns with accompanying commentary and full references. The author’s witty and informed analysis of events provides an ideal introduction to important ideas for anybody interested in how the modern economy works.

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
_Hlk489962505 77
_Hlk505371102 146
_Hlk505347516 79
The author xi
Foreword xii
1\tIntroduction 1
This book 3
Microeconomics and macroeconomics 5
Sources 14
References 15
2\tMarket structures and incentives 16
Meat and potato pies and the Nobel Prize in economics 20
Incentives, scarce resources and the refugee crisis 22
The market for speeding points 24
Bacon sandwich with sugar, anyone? 27
Don’t send bankers to jail. Just don’t give them knighthoods 29
Would harsher punishments deter the likes of Twisleton-Wykeham-Fiennes? 31
Why can’t students learn? University is not worthwhile for most 34
Can Nanny make you stop drinking? 37
Paying for performance can be bad. It’s (almost) official 39
Why teachers are just like bankers 42
CEO compensation and Jamaican demands for reparations: two sides of the same coin 44
Corporation tax: fostering the illusions of the electorate that someone else will pay 47
Our Friends in the North are trapped in a monetary union 49
Can game theory help the Greeks? 52
With hurricanes raging, why can’t politicians confront climate change? 55
Ticket prices, fairness and behavioural economics 57
Are the markets telling the truth? 60
The value of experiments, both controlled and natural 62
Rude Yorkshiremen, Milton Friedman and economic theory 65
Banks and steel: thorny problems in economic theory 67
Expert opinions are often built on sand 70
References 73
3\tUncertainty and the limits to knowledge 76
The World Chess Championship tells us how we really make decisions 81
The ‘gentleman in Whitehall’ does not know best 83
How expert are experts? Time to end the independence of the Bank 86
Beer, evolution and failure 88
Ninja Turtles, Nick Clegg and market failure 91
Black Friday, games and the Stock Market 93
Can England win the World Cup? 96
References 99
4\tInnovation 100
Whatever happened to all those miners? Shocks and economic resilience 105
Economics isn’t always the dismal science 107
Could Ernie replace Andy? The Bank’s take on automation 110
Neo-Luddites won’t like it, but the UK must keep on (driverless) truckin’ 112
Always look on the bright side 114
All we are saying: give capitalism a chance 116
Artificial Intelligence and the future 119
Biotech contradicts accusation of City short-termism 121
Stranded assets and innovation 124
Britain’s New Industrial Policy: can we learn from the mistakes of the past? 126
Why cricket is like spam 129
References 132
5\tNetworks 134
Thomas Schelling, polymath of genius 139
A stitch in time. We need smarter government, but less of it 142
Echo chamber of garbage 145
Alas, poor Cecil! Economic theory and the death of a lion 148
If it can happen to Google, who can feel safe? 150
Um Bongo: a spotlight on modern social and economic behaviour 153
Popular culture is the driving force of inequality 155
What the Emily Thornberry saga tells us about macroeconomic policy 157
References 161
6\tMacroeconomics 162
Want an economic forecast guv? Pick one, any one will do 168
What a good job Keynes didn’t believe in forecasting 170
Inflation and the limits to knowledge 173
A tale of two crises 176
The private sector, not the state, drives America’s recovery 178
Cutting spending can be expansionary 181
Is this a pleb I see before me? Reality and perception in the markets 183
How big is my multiplier? 185
The ‘output gap’: another piece of economic mumbo-jumbo 188
We are much better off than the official statistics say 191
Economists are not impressed by Piketty’s views on inequality 193
Capitalism is stable and resilient 196
References 199
A few suggestions for further reading 201
About the IEA 206
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