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Violence in African Elections

Violence in African Elections

Mimmi Söderberg Kovacs | Jesper Bjarnesen

(2018)

Abstract

Multiparty elections have become the bellwether by which all democracies are judged, and the spread of these systems across Africa has been widely hailed as a sign of the continent’s progress towards stability and prosperity. But such elections bring their own challenges, particularly the often intense internecine violence following disputed results.

While the consequences of such violence can be profound, undermining the legitimacy of the democratic process and in some cases plunging countries into civil war or renewed dictatorship, little is known about the causes. By mapping, analysing and comparing instances of election violence in different localities across Africa – including Kenya, Ivory Coast and Uganda – this collection of detailed case studies sheds light on the underlying dynamics and sub-national causes behind electoral conflicts, revealing them to be the result of a complex interplay between democratisation and the older, patronage-based system of ‘Big Man’ politics.

Essential for scholars and policymakers across the social sciences and humanities interested in democratization, peace-keeping and peace studies, Violence in African Elections provides important insights into why some communities prove more prone to electoral violence than others, offering practical suggestions for preventing violence through improved electoral monitoring, voter education, and international assistance.


Mimmi Söderberg Kovacs is head of research at the Folke Bernadotte Academy (FBA), a Swedish governmental agency working in the field of peace and security under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Jesper Bjarnesen is a senior researcher with the Nordic Africa Institute. He previously lectured in the department of cultural anthropology and ethnography at Uppsala University.


‘The insights provided by this important book have much to tell us about when and where electoral violence occurs, and deserve a large audience.’
Nic Cheeseman, author of Democracy in Africa

‘This book is the first comprehensive study of its kind, it should be required reading not only for political scientists and other social science scholars, but also people in the policy sphere.’ 
Mats Utas, co-editor of Private Security in Africa

‘Offers valuable insights into under-explored issues in electoral violence, in particular the “everyday” aspects of intimidation, and the interaction between “foot-soldiers” and “big men”.’
Andreas Mehler, Arnold-Bergstraesser-Institut, University of Freiburg

‘An excellent contribution to the growing literature on electoral violence. This is a major advance for a literature that tends to privilege national elite strategies. In short, there is much to learn in these pages.’
Scott Straus, University of Wisconsin-Madison

‘This collection broadens our understanding of electoral violence and opens up multiple new lines of research inquiry into the subject matter. A timely and welcome contribution.’
Marie-Joëlle Zahar, Université de Montréal

‘Deepens our insights into the causes of electoral violence and explains the intricate relationship between democratization, patronage and violence. It also provides directions for policy reforms to address electoral violence.’
Anna Jarstad, Umeå University

‘Finally, a book that seriously investigates and bridges the macro and micro dynamics of electoral violence in Africa.’
Anders Themnér, Uppsala University

‘Sounds a warning to tread carefully when interfering with the politics of other states.’
Bruce Baker, Coventry University

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Cover Cover
About the editors iii
Title Page\r v
Copyright\r vi
Contents vii
Abbreviations ix
Acknowledgements xiii
Introduction: The everyday politics of electoral violence in Africa 1
The phenomenon of electoral violence 5
Looking beyond the national: shifting the level of analysis 8
Between democracy and Big Man politics 10
‘Stomach infrastructure’, high stakes, and the struggle for power at the centre 11
Competition, ethno-regional politics and close races 13
Institutional (dis)incentives and constraints on violence 15
Chapter outline 17
References 21
1: Ethnic politics and elite competition: the roots of electoral violence in Kenya\r 27
Introduction\r 27
Ethnic politics, identity formation and electoral violence 29
Kenya’s violent transition 30
The 1992 elections 31
Exclusionary ethnic identity and victimisation 33
Ethnic political mobilisation 36
Electoral violence beyond 1992 39
Conclusions 41
Notes 42
References 43
2: Wielding the stick again: the rise and fall and rise of state violence during presidential elections in Uganda 47
Introduction 47
Previous research on government-sponsored violence 48
Framework and argument: competition, rewards, sanctions and experiences 49
Electoral authoritarianism and the ebb and flow of state-organised violence in Uganda 51
1996–2006: from consent to challenge and crackdown 53
2011: toleration outweighing repression 54
2016: repression outweighing toleration again 57
Conclusions 60
Acknowledgements 62
Notes 62
References 63
3: Land conflict and electoral violence in Côte d’Ivoire: a micro-level analysis\r 67
Introduction 67
Contentious politics around land and elections in Côte d’Ivoire 69
Land conflict in the western cocoa regions: a micro-level perspective 71
Lack of integration of migrant populations 72
Autochthons’ loss of land 73
The disputed nature of land sales 74
The weakening of chieftaincies 76
Land conflict and electoral violence: the ‘joint production of action’ 77
Conclusions: the politics of land in the 2015 elections and beyond 80
Notes 83
References 84
4: The geography of violence in Burundi’s 2015 elections\r 87
Introduction 87
Electoral violence in Burundi 90
The build-up to the 2015 elections 94
The controversy over Pierre Nkurunziza’s candidacy 95
Understanding Burundi’s geography of violence 96
Why the capital was the primary site of violence 97
Why some neighbourhoods of Bujumbura were left untouched by violence 104
Why violence in the provinces was limited to specific districts 105
Conclusion 107
Notes 109
References 110
5: Competition, uncertainty and violence in Sierra Leone’s swing district\r 114
Introduction 114
Political competition, swing areas and electoral violence 115
Elections and violence in Sierra Leone 117
The strategic logic of electoral violence in Kono 120
Swinging the vote and tipping the balance 120
Holding ground and making inroads 123
The intra-party struggle for power 125
Forceful intermediaries: local chiefs and traditional authorities 126
Local gangs and foot soldiers of violence 128
Concluding remarks 130
Notes 131
References 133
6: Ex-militants and electoral violence in Nigeria’s Niger Delta\r 135
Introduction 135
Ex-combatants and electoral violence in post-conflict societies 137
Electoral violence and armed militancy in Nigeria’s Niger Delta 139
The limits of Nigeria’s DDR programme 140
Ex-militants and electoral violence in Nigeria’s Niger Delta 143
Regional dynamics 144
Ex-militants and electoral violence during the 2015 elections 145
Bayelsa State 146
Rivers State 148
Conclusion 150
Notes 152
References 152
7: The winner takes it all: post-war rebel networks, Big Man politics, and the threat of violence in the 2011 Liberian election\r 156
Introduction 156
Post-conflict elections – the final break with war? 157
Liberia’s recent history of electoral violence 158
The 2011 Liberian elections and the involvement of ex-combatants 160
Winston Tubman and the vigilante leader 160
Ellen Johnson Sirleaf and the former LURD general 163
Winners and losers in the 2011 elections 165
The potential of post-war rebel networks for electoral violence 167
Post-war rebel networks as a resource for stability and livelihood 169
Conclusions 172
Notes 174
References 174
8: Parasitic politics: violence, deception and change in Kenya’s electoral politics\r 176
Introduction 176
Deception and violence as political participation 178
‘The born-again Mau Mau’: Mungiki’s economic and cultural background 180
Mobilising the masses 181
Mobilising the youth for change 183
Harbingers of death: religious appearances, mythological references and violent potential 186
Parasitic politics: forceful takeovers from the inside 188
The Mugumo tree 190
Conclusion 191
Notes 193
References 193
9: Eclectic ties and election touts: Chipangano’s cyclic governance agenda in Mbare, Zimbabwe\r 197
Introduction 197
The background to violent electioneering in Zimbabwe 199
Introducing Chipangano’s informal economy of violence 201
Chipangano’s governance agenda: controlling elections and earnings 202
Violent electioneering 202
Downsizing and sizing up Big Men: Chipangano’s leadership 204
Controlling informal sector earnings 205
Chipangano within the Big Man agenda: spillages for pillaging 208
Elections and control in Mbare: elevating and relegating Big Men 208
Conclusion: the timely emergence of Big Men with specific agendas 210
Notes 211
References 211
10: Patronage politics and electoral violence in Lagos, Nigeria: understanding the micro-level dynamics\r 215
Introduction 215
The politics of transportation 216
Transportation and the dynamics of patronage 219
Politicised spaces 222
Tactical agency from below 225
Elections and ‘stomach infrastructure’ 226
Conclusion 229
Notes 230
References 231
11: ‘Once they all pick their guns you can have your way’: campaigning and talking about violence in northern Ghana\r 233
Introduction 233
Talking about violence in electoral campaigns 235
Challenging the model: elections and verbal violence in Ghana 236
Presidential campaigning and the ‘violent north’ 238
Big Men politics, rumours and the youth 241
Conclusion 244
Notes 245
References 246
Conclusion: Beyond democracy and Big Man politics 250
Introduction 250
Between and below: other expressions of electoral violence 251
Electoral violence as contentious politics? 252
The micro-level turn in studies of electoral violence 254
Reciprocal relations and mutually reinforced dependencies 255
Towards a ‘historical turn’ in the study of electoral violence 258
Policy implications 259
Encourage processes and reforms that lower the stakes of elections 259
Support the broader process of democratisation beyond election support 259
Expand the concept and practice of election observation and monitoring 260
Rethink electoral security 261
Address unresolved conflicts at the local level 261
Notes 262
References 262
About the contributors 263
Index 264