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Judge Knot

Judge Knot

Todd N. Tucker

(2018)

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Book Details

Abstract

‘Judge Knot’ explores the biggest and the most controversial success story in international law: investor-state dispute settlement, or ISDS. Since 1990, investors have launched hundreds of claims against government regulation. This exclusive inside look explains what makes the system tick: its poorly understood centuries-old origins, why corporations demand investment law solutions to political problems, how arbitrators supply these solutions, and why the system lasts despite the many politicians and citizens unhappy with it. Building off of an unprecedented set of interviews with the arbitrators who actually decide the cases, ‘Judge Knot’ brings together the best of political science, law and development economics scholarship and offers a concrete alternative to ISDS that leverages what works about the system and discards what does not, so that international law can be more supportive of democracy and development goals.


“Lawyers, economists and lay people alike: read this book. Tucker’s lively narrative and crystal-clear explanations make buoyant a wonky subject matter. Deeply researched and well-sourced, Judge Knot: Politics and Development in International Investment Law is packed with fascinating case studies and insight into why the international law exists as it does today, and leavened by entertaining anecdotes. It may very well be the first book on international investment law that you can, in good faith, recommend to a friend.”
—Haley Edwards, Correspondent, Time; Author of Shadow Courts: The Tribunals That Rule Global Trade


“The world of international investment disputes may seem an obscure domain populated by narrow if upright lawyers speaking in esoteric languages. In this path-breaking work, Todd Tucker shows how it is actually where an epic power struggle is being fought between governments, corporations and citizens. If you want to understand the future of our economic world, you must read this book.”
—Ha-Joon Chang, Director, Centre of Development Studies, University of Cambridge, UK


Dr. Todd N. Tucker is a political scientist and fellow at the Roosevelt Institute.


“Judge Knot penetrates the dense and tangled thicket of arbitration of disputes between companies and states around the world. It rejects facile critiques of these processes from the right and the left, offering instead a thoughtful and imaginative set of prescriptions for democratizing global trade and investment. Lawyers, judges and activists will find much interesting and original material.”
—Anne-Marie Slaughter, President and CEO, New America


In recent decades, international legal constraints have shifted far beyond the national border. International lenders’ structural adjustment programs require states to slash budgets, privatize public enterprises and cut pensions. Trade agreements have shifted from locking in low tariffs to forbidding policies that today’s rich countries used to climb up the developmental ladder. This suite of neoliberal policies has been labeled the “golden straitjacket” for their supposed promise of unlocking economic growth. [NP] ‘Judge Knot’ explores a corollary to the straitjacket: investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS), where foreign investors can sue host states out of national courts before transnational tribunals over government regulation. Since 1990, corporations have launched hundreds of cases against states over environmental conservation, financial stabilization and public service provision. In an era of Donald Trump, Brexit, Bernie Sanders, and Jeremy Corbyn, criticism of this system has grown enormously. Yet meaningful reform has been difficult. Even though neoliberal economics is on the wane, its legal underpinnings remain attractive to the corporations that demand investment law and the arbitrators who supply it.

Building off of an unprecedented set of interviews with the arbitrators who actually decide the cases, the interdisciplinary ‘Judge Knot’ brings together the best of political science, law and development economics scholarship to offer a historical institutionalist account of investment arbitration in an era of unprecedented judicialization of international affairs. The book offers concrete alternatives to ISDS that leverage what works about the system and discard what doesn’t, so that international law can be more supportive of democracy and development goals.


Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Cover Cover 1
Front Matter i
Half-title i
Series information ii
Title page iii
Copyright information iv
Dedication v
Table of contents vii
List of illustrations ix
Acknowledgments xi
Chapter Int-6 1
Introduction 1
References 6
Chapter One Entering the Judge Knot 7
All Tangled Up 7
From Jobs to Judges 11
Global Institutions Meet Democracy 13
Outline of Remaining Chapters 19
References 20
Chapter Two Historicizing Investment Law 23
Strengths and Weaknesses of International Relations Paradigms 25
Realism: Power Talks, Law Walks 26
Rational-Choice Institutionalism: Rules That Bind 27
Sociological Institutionalism: Doing What Is Right 29
Historical Institutionalism: Taking Temporality Seriously 30
Judicialization of Investment Law: A Historical Institutionalist Account 33
Critical Juncture: Challenge to Sovereign Immunity in the Peripheries and Proto-ISDS 34
Reactive Sequence: The Rights of Business After Social Upheavals 37
Incrementalism and Obfuscation: Congress as Frog in Boiling Water 45
Summing Up 49
References 51
Chapter Three Why Investors Demand Investment Law 57
Investor–State Dispute Settlement: The Mixed Empirical Track Record 60
What Do We Know about the Role of the State in Development? 64
New Institutional Economics and Theories of State Development 65
The Institutionalist Political Economy Alternative 66
Role Reversal on Courts 67
Attractive Inputs: Arbitral Development Ideologies 68
What Types of State Behavior Are Investment Treaties Meant to Constrain? 69
How Should Policy Change? 74
What Role Do Treaties Play in National Development? 78
How Much Sensitivity Should Arbitrators Show States? 83
Attractive Outputs: Ideology in Arbitral Decisions 84
“Best” Case: Damages for Political Change 85
“Worst” Case: Damages Only for Changes Unfavorable to Foreigners 86
“Best” (and “Worst”) Case: All (or Only Part) of Tribunals Agree That Regulations’ Impacts... 90
“Best” (and “Worst”) Case: Foreigners Can Override Treaty Commitments of Their Home... 91
Truly Worst Case: Unusable Protections 91
Summing Up 93
References 95
Chapter Four Why Arbitrators Supply Investment Law 101
How Arbitrators Are Appointed 101
Arbitrator Types 102
Chairman Types 103
Wingman Types 107
Types in Interaction 111
Tribunal Types and Implications for States 112
Summing Up 120
References 121
Chapter Five Why Investment Law Lasts 123
Exploiting Imprecision 124
The Law Appliers 126
The Law Creators 128
Benefiting from Complex Delegation 132
Screening 133
Monitoring 136
Sanctions 137
Institutional Checks and Balances 140
How Viable Is Voice or Exit? 146
Summing Up 151
References 151
Chapter Six Toward Global Popular Constitutionalism 157
Law in Democracy: From Popular Constitutionalism to Judicial Supremacy in the United States 160
Three Tales of Judicialization 164
Labor: From More Judicialization to Less, and Back Again 164
Trade: From No to Lots of Judicialization 167
Tax: Selective Judicialization 170
Reforming Investment Law: Can Knotty Be Nice? 172
Global Popular Constitutionalism: A Roadmap 173
Complementary Policies 180
Addressing Objections 181
Signing Off 184
References 186
End Matter 191
Appendix: Methodology 191
How Do Social Scientists Study Adjudicators? 191
My Method 192
Index 199