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Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing

Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing

Josh Ryan-Collins | Toby Lloyd | Laurie Macfarlane | John Muellbauer

(2017)

Abstract

Why are house prices in many advanced economies rising faster than incomes? Why isn’t land and location taught or seen as important in modern economics? What is the relationship between the financial system and land?

In this accessible but provocative guide to the economics of land and housing, the authors reveal how many of the key challenges facing modern economies - including housing crises, financial instability and growing inequalities - are intimately tied to the land economy. Looking at the ways in which discussions of land have been routinely excluded from both housing policy and economic theory, the authors show that in order to tackle these increasingly pressing issues a major rethink by both politicians and economists is required.


'A lucid exposition of the dysfunctional British housing market.'
Financial Times - Best Books of 2017

'The book that did the most to alter my perception of the world.'
Bloomberg - Must-reads of 2017

'The most important book I read this year.'
Times Higher Education - Best Books of 2017

'Extremely useful'
Institute of Place Management - Best Books of 2017

‘This excellent book on the economic role of land is both thorough and comprehensive. I am convinced that it will quickly become an important reference for the general public and for economists, and hopefully also for policymakers.’
Michael Kumhof, senior research advisor, Bank of England

'Housing and land play a central role in modern economies , but most mainstream economic theory simply ignores land's special character - with grave consequences for its ability to explain the real world. By contrast, this important book analyses the subject with excellent clarity. Read it and you will understand the crucial underlying drivers of rising debt, increasing inequality and financial crises.’
Adair Turner, chairman of the Institute of New Economic Thinking

‘A lucid and convincing explanation of why a free-market approach to the land problem makes little sense; why the state needs to intervene; and of the wide range of policy options available. Economics is evolving and this crucial book is a key part of its transformation.’
Danny Dorling, author of All That Is Solid: How the Great Housing Disaster Defines Our Times, and What We Can Do About It

'This book takes a fresh and comprehensive look at the problems created by a failure to consider the role of land in the economy of the UK. It proposes a wide range of solutions which policymakers should consider.'
Kate Barker, author of the Barker Review of UK Housing Supply

‘A comprehensive survey of the role of land in the economy and its neglect in economics, as well as a profile of how ownership of this essential requirement for life has become unattainable for the majority of young Britons, thanks to the march of finance and the compliance of Parliament.’
Steve Keen, author of Debunking Economics

‘Land policy is the missing issue in any discussion on planning, development and the property market. This book is therefore long overdue. It returns land to its central role in both economic theory and in built environment discourses.’
Duncan Bowie, author of Radical Solutions to the Housing Supply Crisis

'This is an admirable book. It provides a powerful critique of the UK’s failed policies towards land and housing and it sets out an ambitious but credible set of alternatives which merit serious debate.'
LSE Review of Books

'A very welcome analysis.'
Greenhouse think tank


Dr Josh Ryan-Collins is senior economist at the New Economics Foundation, where he has been based since 2006. He leads a research programme at NEF focusing on monetary and financial reform and the economics of land and housing and has published widely across these areas. Josh is the lead author of Where Does Money Come From?, a comprehensive guide to the workings of the modern monetary system, which is used as a textbook to teach banking and finance courses at universities in the UK and United States. He has a PhD in economics from the University of Southampton and is visiting research fellow at Southampton Business School and City University’s Political Economy Research Centre in London.

Toby Lloyd is head of housing development at Shelter, the UK’s largest housing charity, where he was previously head of policy. He has worked on housing issues across the public, private and voluntary sectors for over twelve years, advising ministers, mayors, businesses and communities. His proposal for a new Garden City won the runner-up award in the Wolfson Economics Prize 2014.

Laurie Macfarlane is an economist at the New Economics Foundation, working on land and financial reform issues. He was previously head of economic analysis at the Water Industry Commission for Scotland and also spent one year working in the markets and economics division at Ofwat. Laurie has written on land and housing reform for the progressive Scottish think tank Common Weal. He has a first class degree in economics from the University of Strathclyde.

The New Economics Foundation is the only people-powered think tank. It works to build a new economy where people really take control.


Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Front Cover Front cover
Title Page v
Copyright vi
Contents vii
Figures, Tables and Boxes xi
Acknowledgements xiii
Abbreviations xv
Glossary xvii
Foreword by John Muellbauer xxiii
1: Introduction 1
1.1: What Is Land? 3
1.2: What Is the Value of Land?\r 6
1.3: Landownership and Economic Rent 10
1.4: Summary of Chapters\r 13
2: Landownership and Property\r 15
2.1: Introduction 15
2.2: Landownership: Origins of the Theory and Forms 16
2.3: Landownership as Freedom: Secure Title and Economic Growth 20
2.4: Landownership as Theft: Power and Economic Rent 22
2.5: Hypothesis: Property Is Liberty, Property Is Theft 25
2.6: Responses to the Ownership Paradox 29
2.7: Conclusion 35
3: The Missing Factor: Land in Production and Distribution 37
3.1: Introduction 37
3.2: Classical Political Economy: Land and Economic Rent 39
3.3: Land Tax or Separation as a Solution to the Problem of Economic Rent\r 45
3.4: Neoclassical Economics and the Conflation of Land with Capital 48
3.5: Problems with the Neoclassical Account: Fundamental Differences Between Land and Capital 51
3.6: Political Reasons for the Disappearance of Land from Economic Theory 57
3.7: Land and Socialism\r 59
3.8: Consequences of the Conflation of Land and Capital Today\r 62
3.9: Conclusion 64
4: Land for Housing: Land Economics in the Modern Era\r 66
4.1: Introduction 66
4.2: The Industrial Revolution and the Growth of Cities\r 68
4.3: 1900–1970: World Wars and the Golden Age of Capitalism\r 74
4.4: 1970 Onwards: the Emergence of ‘Residential Capitalism’\r 86
4.5: The New Political Economy of Housing\r 91
4.6: Conclusion\r 106
5: The Financialisation of Land and Housing\r 109
5.1: Introduction\r 109
5.2: House and Land Prices, Income and Bank Credit\r 112
5.3: Mortgage Finance, the ‘Lifecycle’ Model and the Role of Collateral\r 124
5.4: The History of Mortgage and Real Estate Finance in the UK\r 128
5.5: Macroeconomic Effects of the Liberalisation of Mortgage Credit\r 142
5.6: The Property–Credit Nexus and Financial Fragility 150
5.7: Conclusion\r 158
6: Land, Wealth and Inequality\r 161
6.1: Introduction\r 161
6.2: Trends in Economic Inequality\r 162
6.3: Traditional Explanations for Increasing Inequality\r 165
6.4: The Role of Land and Economic Rent in Increasing Inequality\r 169
6.5: Why Inequality Matters\r 185
6.6: Conclusion\r 187
7: Putting Land Back into Economics and Policy 189
7.1: Introduction\r 189
7.2: Ownership\r 193
7.3: Tax Reform\r 199
7.4: Financial Reform\r 205
7.5: Reforms to Tenure\r 212
7.6: Planning Reform 215
7.7: Changes to Economics and National Accounting\r 217
7.8: Conclusion\r 221
Bibliography 225
Index 245
Back Cover Back cover