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China's Asian Dream

China's Asian Dream

Tom Miller

(2017)

Abstract

"China", Napoleon once remarked, "is a sleeping lion. Let her sleep, for when she wakes she will shake the world." In 2014, President Xi Jinping triumphantly declared the lion had awakened. Under his leadership, China is pursuing a dream to restore its historical position as the dominant power in Asia.

From the Mekong River Basin to the Central Asian steppe, China is flexing its economic muscles for strategic ends. By setting up new regional financial institutions, Beijing is challenging the post-World War II order established under the watchful eye of Washington. And by funding and building roads, railways, ports and power lines—a New Silk Road across Eurasia and through the South China Sea and Indian Ocean—China aims to draw its neighbours ever tighter into its embrace.

Combining a geopolitical overview with on-the-ground reportage from a dozen countries, China’s Asian Dream offers a fresh perspective on the rise of China’ and asks: what does it means for the future of Asia?


'Understanding the philosophy behind China’s national aspirations will be a defining task of 21st-century diplomacy. In that vein, China’s Asian Dream will prove essential reading.’
Wall Street Journal

‘A lively work … particularly strong on the role that Chinese-backed infrastructure development will play in fulfilling [China’s regional] ambition.’
Financial Times

'Superbly organised ... Miller deftly combines the plethora of data points and statistics with vivid local colour.'
South China Morning Post

‘A must read for those interested in whether President Xi’s reincarnated “Silk Road” will succeed in restoring the grandeur of the Middle Kingdom.’
Yukon Huang, former World Bank Director for China

'One of the best accounts we have of what China’s rise really means for the world.'
Hugh White, author of The China Choice

'A uniquely well informed view of the opportunities, and the huge risks, of China's bold ambitions in the region.'
Kerry Brown, author of China and the New Maoists

‘An indispensable guide... brimming with telling insights and arresting stories, China's Asian Dream really hits the ball out of the park.’
James Kynge, Emerging Markets Editor for The Financial Times

‘Tom Miller tackles the central question of our time: whether China can translate its economic power into geopolitical clout, and execute its breath taking plan to dominate its Asian neighbours.’
Richard McGregor, author of The Party: The Secret World of China's Communist Rulers

'Excellent … Tom Miller has voyaged around China’s periphery [and] his long experience of analysing the Chinese economy enables him to puncture a few over-inflated myths.'
Bill Hayton, author of South China Sea: The Struggle for Power in Asia

'[A] vivid and useful guide to China’s unfolding strategy and its economic and diplomatic ramifications.'
ChinaDialogue

'A terrific combination of data and pavement-pounding local investigation, with discussions between academics, market traders and officials from Laos to India.'
Hong Kong Review of Books

'One of the best researched volumes on Chinese President Xi Jinping’s driving vision, his ‘dream’ to return his country to the dominant position it had held in Asia since ancient times.'
William R. Hawkins, Selous Foundation for Public Policy Research


Tom Miller is a senior analyst at Gavekal Research, a global economic research service, and managing editor of China Economic Quarterly, published by its sister service Gavekal Dragonomics. Tom was educated at the University of Oxford and the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS) in London, and spent two years studying Mandarin in Beijing. A former journalist, he has reported from a dozen countries in Asia. His first book, China’s Urban Billion: The Story Behind the Biggest Migration in Human History (Zed, 2012), was translated into Chinese. After fourteen years living in China, Tom now divides his time between England and Asia.


Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Front Cover Front cover
About the Author i
Title Page iii
Copyright iv
Dedication v
Contents vii
Acknowledgements ix
Abbreviations xi
Introduction 1
1: “One Belt One Road\": Financing the New Silk Road\r 21
Belt and Road Initiative 30
Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank 34
Asia’s Infrastructure Arms Race 43
2: Marching West: The Economics of Power in Central Asia 53
Xinjiang 57
Central Asia 73
Russia 85
3: In the Heat of the Sun: Advancing Down the Mekong 93
Laos 99
Cambodia 114
4: California Dreamin': How China “Lost” Myanmar 125
Gateway to the Bay of Bengal 148
5: A String of Pearls: Fear and Loathing in the Indian Ocean 161
Indian Ocean 165
Pakistan 174
India 180
Sri Lanka 186
6: Fiery Waters: Mapping the South China Sea 197
Vietnam 219
Conclusion 237
Notes 249
Index 280
Back Cover Back cover