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Quantitative Studies of the Renaissance Florentine Economy and Society

Quantitative Studies of the Renaissance Florentine Economy and Society

Richard T. Lindholm

(2017)

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Abstract

Quantitative Studies of the Renaissance Florentine Economy and Society is a collection of nine quantitative studies probing aspects of Renaissance Florentine economy and society. The collection, organized by topic, source material and analysis methods, discusses risk and return, specifically the population’s responses to the plague and also the measurement of interest rates. The work analyzes the population’s wealth distribution, the impact of taxes and subsidies on art and architecture, the level of neighborhood segregation and the accumulation of wealth. Additionally, this study assesses the competitiveness of Florentine markets and the level of monopoly power, the nature of women’s work and the impact of business risk on the organization of industrial production.


“Lindholm’s Quantitative Studies illuminates the underlying dynamics of plague mortality, residential patterns, home ownership, wealth distribution and women’s work in the wool industry in Renaissance Florence. Drawing on economic theory and advanced statistical methods, yet attentive to microhistorical contexts, this important book opens up new pathways for future research.” —Julius Kirshner, Professor Emeritus of Medieval and Renaissance History, University of Chicago, USA


The book is a collection of nine quantitative studies – each probing one aspect of Renaissance Florentine economy and society. These are organized into three parts by topic, source material and analysis methods. Part one, on risk and return, contains two chapters. Chapter 1 studies Florentine plague outbreaks. Recent work has highlighted the incompatibility of evidence from written records with medical evidence. The chapter reconciles these approaches by using financial market evidence to interpret the written records. The next chapter examines a commonly used interest rate time series for Renaissance Florence. Significant literature has evolved during the past quarter century that measures interest rates to assess state formation trends in late medieval and early modern Europe. This chapter links financial theory and medieval law to better measure the Florentine interest rate, showing that the interest rate evidence used to date must be reconsidered.

The second part examines Florentine society. This part shows how Florentine occupations can be separated into two categories by comparing wealth levels and distributions; demonstrates that the architectural and artistic explosion during the mid-fifteenth century was the result of a subsidy – a tax loophole that exempted the home and its furnishings from an significant new tax, leading to a transfer of assets into art and architecture; finds that Florentine neighbourhoods remained integrated between the mid-fourteenth and late fifteenth centuries; and provides evidence that the modern life-cycle curve of wealth accumulation might not have held true in Renaissance Florence.

The final part looks at work – focusing specifically on the wool industry. It examines the historical structure of Florentine firms and offers a wide range of evidence to demonstrate that the industry’s firms were small and perfectly competitive with little monopoly power. It also demonstrates the value of dynamic data in understanding women’s work during the late medieval and early modern periods. Finally, it shows that the foundation of the Florentine cloth industry reduced the risk facing the individual company by relying on a combination of a guild organization and the putting-out production system – both systems that are rejected by economic theory as hopelessly inefficient.


Richard T. Lindholm received a doctorate in history and in economics from the University of Chicago. He taught in the Department of Finance, Lundquist College of Business, University of Oregon.

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Cover Cover 1
Front Matter i
Half-title i
Series information ii
Title page iii
Copyright information iv
Dedication v
Table of contents vii
List of Illustrations ix
Preface xv
Acknowledgments xvii
List of Abbreviations xix
Part I Risks and Returns 9
Chapters (1-2) 11
Chapter One The Costs And Benefits of Running Away: Late Medieval Florentine Plague Mortality and Behavior 11
Introduction 11
Florentine Plague Seasonality Research 13
Surviving Plagues, Information and the Currency Exchange Market 17
The White Death and the Market Closure Timing 20
Thin Market Postclosure 22
The September Seasonal Gold Premium 23
Concluding Remarks 26
Chapter Two When Economic Theory Meets Medieval Contracts: Calculating the Monte Comune Interest Rate 35
Introduction 35
Interest Rates and Institutions 36
The Monte Comune of Florence 39
The Monte Comune and Bond Contract Theory 40
The Secondary Market 43
The Monte Comune and Interest Rate Theory 48
Late Medieval Interest Rate Measurement 49
A New Time Series of Quattrocento Interest Rates 52
Some Implications of the New Interest Rate Time Series 53
Conclusion 55
Appendix 2A: Calculating the Monte Comune Interest Rates from the Coupon and Discount Rates 56
Part II Society 59
Chapters (3-6) 61
Chapter Three The Chances of Getting Rich In Renaissance Florence: The Wool Industry Occupational Wealth Hierarchy 61
Introduction 61
Economic Growth and Inequality 62
Wealth Distribution and Social Mobility in Renaissance Florence 66
Testing the Relationship between Occupations and Household Wealth 70
Measures of Occupational Wealth Volatility 72
Conclusions 78
Appendix 3A: A Brief Introduction to the Catasto as a Source of Quantitative Data 78
Appendix 3B: A Brief Description and History of the Renaissance Florentine Wool Industry 80
Appendix 3C: Wealth Volatility and Dowry Value 94
Chapter Four Palaces and Workers: Neighborhood Residential Segregation in Renaissance Florence 97
Introduction 97
General Theories of Urban Ecology 98
Theories of Renaissance Florentine Urban Ecology 105
From Trecento to Early Quattrocento Florentine Neighborhoods 111
From Early to Late Quattrocento Florentine Neighborhoods 120
Conclusions 125
Chapter Five The “State” Makes A Work of Art: The Impact of the Catasto Homeowner Tax Loophole ... 127
Introduction 127
Explaining the Palace-Building Boom 128
The Timing of the Florentine Private Palace-Building Boom 131
The Timing of the Florentine Homeownership Increase 136
The Quattrocento Florentine Homeownership Rates in Comparison 138
Who Were the New Homeowners? 142
A Model of Changing Homeownership Rates 145
Conclusions 148
Appendix 5A: Opportunity Cost Model of Homeownership 150
Chapter Six Not Getting Ahead in Life: The Lack of Life-Cycle Wealth Accumulation in Quattrocento Tuscany 151
Introduction 151
Life-Cycle Wealth Accumulation Theory 152
The Catasto Data 156
The Statistical Results 159
Introduction to the Data-Quality Tests 160
The Impact of Missing Ages 166
The Effect of Exempting Home and Furnishings 166
Wealth and Its Expected Correlates 170
Wealth Accumulation Patterns for Rich and Poor 172
Household Size, Age and Wealth 174
A Simulation Estimating the Value of Missing Assets 175
Conclusion and Discussion 178
Part III Work 183
Chapters (7-9) 185
Chapter Seven Just Doing Business: Testing Competition in the Renaissance Florentine Wool Industry 185
Introduction 185
Florentine Business Efficiency 186
Analysis of Wool Industry Market Structure 191
A Test of Production Theory 196
Conclusions 197
Chapter Eight Time for it All: Women in the Renaissance Florentine Wool Industry 211
Introduction 211
Sources on Medieval and Renaissance Working Women 213
Late Medieval and Renaissance European Working Women 215
Women’s Work in the Renaissance Florentine Wool Industry 220
Household Production and Working Women 223
Human Capital and Working Women 227
Part-Time Work 231
Conclusion 233
Chapter Nine Why Were Renaissance Florentine Wool Industry Companies So Small? 235
Introduction 235
General Theories of Craft Guilds 238
The Putting-Out System and Firm Structure 240
The Arte della Lana 243
Transaction Cost Reduction 245
The Risk Facing the Company 249
Reducing the Company’s Risk 251
Reducing Craft Worker Risk 254
Applying the Framework 256
Levant Joint-Stock Company 256
Silk Industry Rise 259
Wool Industry Decline 260
Conclusion 260
Conclusion 263
End Matter 267
Glossary 267
Bibliography 281
Archival Sources 281
Other Sources 281
Index 311