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Universal Healthcare without the NHS: Towards a Patient-Centred Health System

Universal Healthcare without the NHS: Towards a Patient-Centred Health System

Kristian Niemietz | John McTernan

(2016)

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Book Details

Abstract

The National Health Service remains the sacred cow of British politics – any criticism is considered beyond the pale, guaranteed to trigger angry responses and accusations of bad faith. This book argues that the NHS should not be insulated from reasoned debate. In terms of health outcomes, it is one of the worst systems in the developed world, well behind those of other high-income countries. The NHS does achieve universal access to healthcare, but so do the health systems in every other developed country (with the exception of the US). Britain is far from being the only country where access to healthcare does not depend on an individual’s ability to pay. Author Kristian Niemietz draws on a wealth of international evidence to develop a vision for a universal healthcare system based on consumer sovereignty, freedom of choice, competition and pluralism. His roadmap for reform charts a path from the status quo to a more desirable and effective alternative.

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Box 1\tA selection of titles 24
The author x
Foreword xi
Summary xiv
Tables, figures and boxes xviii
1\tAn alternative history: what Britain would have been like without the NHS 1
In a universe not far from our own 1
Back to reality 17
2\tWho should envy whom? NHS performance from an international perspective 26
Cancer 27
Stroke 32
Amenable mortality 33
Waiting times 35
The Commonwealth Fund study 38
Spending and efficiency 45
Robustness to demographic challenges 51
Choice and accountability 54
Conclusion 59
3\tA quarter century of NHS reforms: what worked, what failed 62
The internal market of the 1990s 64
The period of ‘ultra-managerialism’ 68
The quasi-market reforms of the 2000s 71
Recent reforms 85
Conclusion 87
4\tOther games in town 90
The NHS debate: insular and inward-looking 90
How social health insurance systems work 94
Notable features of the Dutch system 101
Notable features of the Swiss system 107
Notable features of the German system 112
Notable features of the Israeli system 115
Conclusion 117
5\tTowards a pluralistic, sustainable healthcare system: a strategy for an orderly transition 119
The quasi-market: finishing the job 119
Free entry and exit 122
Free choice of Clinical Commissioning Group 125
The freedom to opt out of NHS commissioning 128
Vertical and horizontal integration 130
Freedom of choice over the depth and scope of coverage 131
Prefunding healthcare costs 134
Selective contracting 136
Conclusion 137
References 141
About the IEA 152
Table 1\tWaiting times for GP appointments and at A&E departments, 2014 36
Table 2\tWaiting times for surgery and cancer therapy, 2014 37
Table 3\tAccess to specialist care and waiting time for diagnostics 38
Table 4\tThe CF’s ranking for health outcomes (the ‘healthy lives’ category), 2014 39
Table 5\tThe top five in the Commonwealth Fund study, 2004–14 45
Table 6\tEfficiency reserves: potential gains in health outcomes through pure efficiency improvements 47
Table 7\tDegree of patient choice and private sector involvement 55
Table 8\tThe number of UK lives that could be saved if patients were treated in other countries’ healthcare systems 93
Table 9\tRisk structure compensation: a stylised example 95
Table 10\tEffect of Risk Structure Compensation Fund 97
Figure 1\tAge-adjusted breast cancer 5-year relative survival rates, diagnosed in 2008 or latest available year 28
Figure 2\tAge-adjusted prostate cancer 5-year relative survival rates, diagnosed 2005–9 29
Figure 3\tAge-adjusted lung cancer 5-year relative survival rates, diagnosed 2005–9 30
Figure 4\tAge-adjusted bowel cancer 5-year relative survival rates, diagnosed 2008 or latest available year 30
Figure 5\tMelanoma 5-year relative survival rates, diagnosed 2000–7 31
Figure 6\tIschaemic stroke 30-day mortality rates (age/sex-standardised), 2014 or latest available year 32
Figure 7\tHaemorrhagic stroke 30-day mortality rate (age/sex-standardised), 2014 or latest available year 33
Figure 8\tAmenable mortality: standardised death rates per 100,000 inhabitants, 2012 or latest available year 34
Figure 9\tDrug consumption in the UK relative to a 14-country average 42
Figure 10\tHealth expenditure in high-income countries as a % of GDP, 2014 or latest available year 49
Figure 11\tHealthcare spending per capita by age, as a multiple of those aged 16–44 51
Figure 12\tIschaemic stroke 30-day mortality rates (age/sex-standardised), 2000 (or first available year) – 2014 (or latest available year) 61
Figure 13\tPublic and private shares of hospital provision (% of hospital beds) 91
Figure 14\tAverage waiting times (number of days) for common surgical procedures, 2014 or latest available year: UK and Netherlands 105
Figure 15\tHow costs are shared in Switzerland: some hypothetical cases 109
Figure 16\tPremium-smoothing: a hypothetical example 114