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Coping with Complexity

Coping with Complexity

Dani Marinova

(2016)

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Abstract

When parties undergo abrupt organisational changes between elections – such as when they fuse, split, join or abandon party lists – they alter profoundly the organisation and supply of electoral information to voters. The alternatives on the ballot are no longer fixed but need to be actively sought out instead. This book examines how voters cope with the complexity triggered by party instability. Breaking with previous literature, it suggests that voters are versatile and ingenious decision-makers. They adapt to informational complexity with a set of cognitively less costly heuristics uniquely suited to the challenges they face. A closer look at the impact of party instability on the vote advances and qualifies quintessential theories of vote choice, including proximity voting, direction-intensity appeals, economic voting and the use of cognitive heuristics. The rich and nuanced findings illustrate that political parties hold a key to understanding voter behaviour and representation in modern democracy.
Dani Marinova is Juan de la Cierva Fellow at Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. She completed a PhD in Political Science at Indiana University in 2012. She studies how political and economic contexts condition citizens' electoral behaviour and in turn shape democratic representation. Her research has appeared in Acta Politica, Democratization, Perspectives on Politics, Political Behavior and Political Science Research and Methods.

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Coping With Complexity i
Table of Contents vii
List of Figures and Tables ix
List of Abbreviations xi
Acknowledgements xiii
Chapter One Coping with Complexity: Introduction to the Research Problem 1
Chapter Two Voting in Complex Information Environments: A Theoretical Framework 13
Chapter Three Electoral Instability in Parties: Concept, Measurement and Dynamics 31
Chapter Four Seeking Information: Voter Knowledge of Party Positions 45
Chapter Five Heuristics for Unstable Parties: How Voters Cope 61
Chapter Six Judging Competence: The Economic Vote 83
Chapter Seven Conclusion: A New Look at Old Theories 103
Appendix: Party Instability Data 115
Appendix to Chapter Four 121
Appendix to Chapter Six 125
Appendix: Party Names 131
Bibliography 135