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Fly and Be Damned

Fly and Be Damned

Peter McManners

(2012)

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Book Details

Abstract

Peter McManners gets underneath the well-known facts about the unsustainable nature of the aviation industry and argues for fundamental change to our travelling habits. The first book to transcend the emotional debate between the entrenched positions of those who are either for, or against, flying, this groundbreaking work argues that aviation is stuck in a stalemate between misguided policy and a growing imperative to deal with its environmental impact and that there is now little possibility that the transition to sustainable flying can be a smooth evolution.
Peter McManners works as an author, consultant and Visiting Fellow of Henley Business School, Reading University. He is a member of the Institute for Green Economics and has published extensively on business and environment.
'All human societies have had to face challenges of one sort or another. But today's challenges are perhaps greater than any faced in the whole of recorded history. Failing to rise to the climate challenge has very serious consequences as to avoid irreversible climate chaos we must hold average global temperatures to no more than 2C above pre-industrial levels, which requires immediate, rapid and widespread action. We long-industrialised nations have a historic obligation to set a lead. Although many of us are already doing a great deal, there remains however a curious phenomenon of "airflight carbon blindness" where individuals who meticulously change light bulbs, use the bus and recycle, still find it just too easy to hop on an cheap air flight. Similarly national and even international frameworks often ignore flying. We urgently need to talk about flying and this book certainly gets the conversation started!' Paul Allen, Project Director, Zero Carbon Britain 'McManners could have titled his important new book 'Fly and Be Sustainable', with its bold and provocative vision for transforming the aviation industry from a laggard of the fossil fuel age to a linchpin industry of the future. Building on the industry's rich entrepreneurial tradition, his proposals could very well usher in a third golden age for the industry and provide a crucial step for a sustainable future. Whether this book disturbs, enlightens, angers or provokes into action, it provides a much-needed jumpstart to the debate on sustainability and deserves a wide audience.' John E. Reardon, Editor, International Journal of Pluralism and Economics Education 'For those who live by air travel, McManners sets out a tough agenda for a sustainable aviation industry.' Nigel Winser, Executive Vice President, Earthwatch

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
About the author i
Abbreviations vi
Preface vii
Introduction 1
ONE | Fly and be damned 5
1 | Addicted to flying 7
The aviation debate 8
Aviation and sustainability 10
Resistance to change 11
Beyond the conventional view 13
Real action 14
2 | Climate change 15
Climate change and politics 16
Climate tipping points 19
Abrupt climate change 20
Probability of abrupt climate change 22
The Arctic as an indicator 23
To act or not to act, that is the question 23
World society wakes up 25
Real action 25
3 | Projected expansion of capacity 27
Growth of CO2 emissions 28
The developing world catches up 29
Flying as a commodity 31
The economics of the aviation industry 31
Business flying 35
Leisure flying 36
The new commuters 37
Air cargo 37
Aviation locked in denial 38
TWO | Aviation today 41
4 | Living the dream 43
Dreaming of flying 43
A lost opportunity – airships 45
The dawn of mass aviation 47
Environmentalism emerges 47
Deregulation 48
The 1970s oil crisis 49
The 1980s and beyond – return to business as usual 51
Addicted to oil 52
5 | Progress out of crisis 54
The second golden age of aviation 54
Onward to the third golden age of aviation 57
6 | The Chicago Convention 60
The International Civil Aviation Conference 60
Altered priorities 63
Resistance to taxing aviation fuel 64
Impact on the aviation industry 65
Renegotiating the Chicago Convention 66
Unilateral action 68
7 | Globalization and aviation 71
Globalization and sustainability 72
The political context 74
Rethinking economic globalization 75
Specific policy dependencies 77
The rise of sustainability 80
8 | The low-cost revolution 81
The birth of low-cost aviation 82
Expansion into Europe 84
Capacity creating demand 85
The low-cost model goes global 86
The flaw in the business plan 88
The death throes of low-cost aviation 89
9 | Breaking the mould 91
The current model of aviation 92
The impact of the oil price 94
Predictions of the future 95
Using economics to redesign aviation 98
Breaking the mould 99
10 | Too little, too late 100
Carbon trading 101
In defence of cheap flights and continued growth 103
More efficient aircraft 105
Better air traffic control 106
Use of biofuel in aviation 107
Short-term action 110
THREE | The future of aviation 113
11 | Green air vehicles 115
Barriers to progress 115
A vision of green air vehicles 117
Learning from nature 118
Learning from the military 120
Propulsion technology 122
Next-generation aviation fuel 124
Hybrid air vehicles 126
Blended-wing aircraft 127
The transformation 128
12 | The third golden age 130
Breaking the stalemate 130
Making the case for green aviation 131
A bushfire throughout aviation 132
The phoenix rises 133
Sustainable aviation takes off 135
First class 136
Business class 139
Economy 140
Air cargo 142
A scenario of the future 142
13 | Unleash the entrepreneurs 144
Launching a new aviation industry 144
Mobilizing innovation 145
Stepping back to a neutral perspective 146
Entrepreneurs waiting in the wings 147
Innovation beyond aviation 147
14 | Short haul to trains 149
The Cinderella of transport options 149
Investing in trains 150
Rail in the developing world 152
Focus on long-term solutions 154
15 | Global aviation policy framework 155
Long-term thinking 155
Aviation within a sustainable policy framework 156
The precautionary principle 157
The forum for change 158
Policy for the transition 160
New policy foundations 160
Forcing the transition 163
Conclusion 164
References 168
Index 176