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Book Details
Abstract
‘A valuable corrective to the fraying narrative of [African] failure.’
Foreign Affairs
Not so long ago, Africa was being described as the hopeless continent. Recently, though, talk has turned to Africa rising, with enthusiastic voices exclaiming the potential for economic growth across many of its countries.
This is an essential account of the real impact economic growth has had on Africa, and what it means for the continent’s future.
'Morten Jerven provides a valuable reminder of the need not just to cite statistics but to question them.'
Financial Times
'A valuable corrective to the fraying narrative of [African] failure.’
Foreign Affairs
‘In this stimulating book, Morten Jerven questions the historical focus of development economics as applied to Africa and calls for greater emphasis on the individual experiences of African countries.'
African Affairs
'In his incisive book Morten Jerven provides a critical analysis of the economic development literature on Africa.'
African Studies Quarterly
'[T]his is indeed an exhilarating and devastating critique of much of what passes as ‘scientific study’ of African economies ... This thought-provoking work has put down a marker for mainstream economists not only to think about, but also to respond to'.
Review of African Political Economy
'By deconstructing the common assumptions guiding most of the econometric exercises leading to all sorts of prognoses, [Jerven] has challenged the mystification practised by mainstream economists.'
Strategic Review for Southern Africa
'A refreshing contribution to the debate about development scholarship on Africa and it deserves to be read by all.'
Africa is a Country
'[A] compelling critique.'
Development Policy Review
'Jerven provides a very useful explanation and argument as to why Western policies or technologies cannot simply be grafted onto the current reality of Africa.'
International Socialism Journal
'Students and researchers in a wide range of fields like international development, statistics, economics and sociology will find this book helpful ... it will help scholars conduct better research and change the conversation about African economic development.'
Science and Public Policy
'Everyone interested in Africa or in the great mysteries of how to understand economic growth can benefit from this excellent book.'
Choice
'[R]eading this book is important ... setting out how statistics and economic analysis have been central to inform policies.'
Policy and Practice, Oxfam
'A highly readable and absolutely devastating critique of an increasingly extensive and influential body of work by economists seeking to explain "what's wrong with Africa". Jerven argues convincingly that a better understanding can be obtained by setting aside the "African failure" frame, and paying careful empirical attention to the continent's complex historical trajectories of episodic and recurring growth.'
James Ferguson, Stanford University
'Jerven brings a healthy scepticism to economists' pronouncements about Africa. He argues that these sweeping generalizations are too often based on shaky econometrics, bad data and superficial concepts. This book should be required reading for anyone who cares about African development.'
William Easterly, author of The Tyranny of Experts
'An excellent and timely scholarly contribution that challenges both the pessimistic view of Africa as a growth failure as well as the exuberant view of Africa's recent growth resurgence. It forces all of us to rethink where the "character flaw" lies - on the African side or on the analyst's side.'
Léonce Ndikumana, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
'This analysis reshapes some of the central questions in the literature on African economic development.'
Catherine Boone, London School of Economics and Political Science
'Jerven's lucid and straightforward writing gravely undermines long-established policy positions concerning trade liberalization and state intervention.'
Gustav Peebles, The New School
'In a short space of time, Morten Jerven's work has influenced debates about economic growth and the nature of the underlying data, especially in the case of sub-Saharan Africa. Jerven is essential reading for anyone working in this area.'
Jonathan Temple, University of Bristol
Morten Jerven teaches at the School for International Studies at Simon Fraser University in Vancouver, Canada. He is the author of Poor Numbers: How We Are Misled by African Development Statistics and What To Do About It.
Table of Contents
Section Title | Page | Action | Price |
---|---|---|---|
Front Cover | Front cover | ||
African Arguments | i | ||
About the Author | iv | ||
Title Page | v | ||
Copyright | vi | ||
Contents | vii | ||
Tables and Figures | viii | ||
Acknowledgments | ix | ||
Introduction | 1 | ||
From Explaining Slow Growth to Explaining Low Income | 4 | ||
How Economists Have Misunderstood Growth in Africa | 6 | ||
1: Misunderstanding Economic Growth in Africa | 12 | ||
Correlation Is Not Causation | 15 | ||
Garbage In, Garbage Out | 16 | ||
The African Dummy Variable | 20 | ||
Misrepresenting the African Economic Growth Record | 25 | ||
The Subtraction Approach | 30 | ||
Aid Dependency | 33 | ||
Deficient Public Services | 35 | ||
Bad Policies | 36 | ||
Bad Governance | 39 | ||
A Leap of Faith | 43 | ||
2: Trapped in History? | 45 | ||
The Historical Evidence of Growth | 46 | ||
Explaining Variation in Income ‘Today’ | 49 | ||
Root Causes of African Underdevelopment | 56 | ||
Initial Conditions: Bad Geography and Wrong Technology | 59 | ||
Ethnicity | 62 | ||
Settlers and Institutions | 65 | ||
‘Causal History’ or ‘Compression of History’? | 68 | ||
Ceteris Paribus: History Matters | 72 | ||
3: African Growth Recurring | 74 | ||
The Political Economy of Episodic Growth in Africa | 76 | ||
The Importance of Economic Growth | 78 | ||
From Slavery to Cash Crops: Growth in Precolonial and Colonial Africa | 80 | ||
Growth in Africa Since 1950 | 86 | ||
Prospects for Growth | 88 | ||
World Markets | 89 | ||
Political Conditions | 93 | ||
The Factors of Production | 97 | ||
Poverty, Inequality and Economic Growth: Some Precautions | 100 | ||
4: Africa’s Statistical Tragedy? | 103 | ||
Benchmark Years | 103 | ||
How Much Do We Know About Income and Growth in Africa? | 105 | ||
Correlates of Growth | 112 | ||
Interpreting the Growth Evidence | 118 | ||
The Politics of African Economic Statistics | 121 | ||
Conclusion | 124 | ||
How We are Misled by Mainstream Economics | 124 | ||
Learning from History | 128 | ||
Getting African Economies Right | 130 | ||
Notes | 133 | ||
Bibliography | 140 | ||
Index | 155 | ||
Back Cover | Back cover |