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The Money Changers

The Money Changers

Robert G. Williams

(2008)

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Book Details

Abstract

At almost $2 trillion per day in trades, currency markets vitally link the world together. Yet few people understand how they work and why they are prone to instability and bouts of panic. This book takes the reader behind the scenes on a tour of the places, the machines, the circuitry and the people involved in moving world money. This journey begins as a traveler removes foreign currency from an ATM machine in Istanbul. The author guides us from the periphery of the market into its neural centers in financial hubs such as London and New York. Currency traders, market analysts, money managers and payments systems architects show their workplaces and reveal their day-to-day experiences in this unpredictable and rapidly evolving world. The experts interviewed may use unfamiliar terms, but the logical progression of the chapters and participants' stories told in workplace settings bring abstract concepts down to earth. After completing the tour, the reader will have a clear picture of the geographical and structural organization of global currency markets and the people who run them. This vision of a volatile, evolving structure will provide a useful framework for deciphering the complex causes of yet unforeseen financial events.
This is a nontechnical exploration into the mechanics of the foreign exchange market, which Williams (Guilford College) nicely motivates by starting with an ordinary retail transaction--an ATM withdrawal of local currency in a foreign country--and tracing it through the wholesale foreign exchange markets to show what actually happens. In doing so, the author provides an intuitive way to explore the most important and arguably the most efficient market in the world, which makes international trade, investment, and financial transfers possible. Individual chapters deal with the nature of spot and forward foreign exchange transactions; how deals get arranged, consummated, and settled; who the major players are; the nature of trading strategies; the sources of exchange rate volatility; the sources of market shocks; and the comparative roles of the euro and the dollar. The discussion is up-to-date, and the use of dialogue makes the book very accessible to the intelligent but uninformed reader. Summing Up: Highly recommended. General readers; all levels of undergraduates. Ingo Walter, Seymour Milstein Professor of Finance, Corporate Governance and Ethics at the Stern School of Business, New York University 'Currency trade is made accessible through the recounting of a series of personal experiences of the author, and professional encounters ranging from bank managers to backroom traders...endeavours to bring abstract concepts of currency exchange down to earth and portray in simple terms the geographical and structural organisations of global currency.' Oxfam Reviews of Journals 'Ambitious and informative...a colourful history of international finance.' Tribune, November 2006

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Contents v
Acknowledgments vii
Preface ix
Introduction\r 1
1/ Back in the States: a glance at foreign exchange 7
2 / A visit to a local bank: what do money changers buy and sell? 10
3 / How do money changers arrange deals? 24
4 / Who are the actors in the world’s biggest market? 35
5 / Where deals are made: historical geography of money changer enclaves 44
Why do money changers cluster where they do? 49
The paradox of clustering in a computer-linked world\r 56
6 / Professor Smith Gets FXed in Tokyo: could he have profited from a currency forecast? 60
How predictable are exchange rates? 63
7 / Inside the trading room: philosophies behind trading strategies 66
Vision one: ‘it’s all supply and demand’ 69
Vision two: ‘it’s all fundamentals’ 70
Vision three: ‘it’s all technical’\r 75
8 / Behind the fish tank: \rwhat causes rates to change? 80
9 / How currencies are delivered: snapshot of an evolving system 95
A meeting with a payments systems expert 98
APPENDIX / diagrammatic notes on currency delivery channels\r 108
10 / A visit to CHIPS, the world’s largest currency delivery system in the 1990s\r 111
11 / Time to settle up: CHIPS closes the dollar day at the New York Fed 124
CHIPS upgrades to real time final settlement 2001 131
Finally, a delivery system safe from foreign exchange settlement risk: Continuous Linked Settlement Bank begins in 2002 133
Lessons of September 11th for global payments\r 135
12 / In the City of London after the Russian default: anatomy of currency market storms of the 1990s 145
The collapse of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism 151
rThe Bank of England loses to the speculators, September 1992 153
13 / The euro in its infancy\r 165
Prologue 165
The potential of the euro as a world currency 169
The euro revolution in stocks and bonds 177
The transition of the real economy to the euro\r 185
14 / Doubts about the euro and the new central bank 190
A European central banker waits on the sidelines 195
Doubts about TARGET, the official euro payments system 198
Reflections on the future of the world monetary system 204
Wrap-up session with Walter Blass 206
APPENDIX / Euro developments after the 1999 London interviews\r 208
15 / Testing the dollar’s hegemony: will the adjustment be smooth? 213
How long will foreigners finance US overspending? 213
Dollar testing episodes and the evolution of market stories 217
Relief for the dollar: spring and summer 2005 226
A smooth or turbulent adjustment: Greenspan vs. Volcker 227
The run on the dollar in the late 1970s 228
The political economy of sterling’s decline as global currency 231
Long-run lessons for the dollar’s loss of hegemony 233
A hopeful conclusion\r 245
Glossary 246
Notes 257
Index 280