Abstract

Is Iran at a crossroads? The recent US - led wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have brought new opportunities and dangers that could conceivably either herald a new rapprochement between Tehran and Washington or else bring a sharp detorioration that might perhaps spill over into confrontation. At home, profound demographic changes would seem to make far-reaching political changes appear inevitable in a country whose young population is alienated from the clerical elite that pulls the strings of power. This book looks at some of the causes of these domestic international tensions and considers some of the possible outcomes. In particular, it asks: Is Iran really on the way to developing nuclear weapons? What is the Iranian ‘Qods Force‘ doing in Iraq and Afghanistan? And why? What are Iran‘s connections with Middle East terror groups? Could Iran disintegrate if the current regime crumbles? How much of a threat to the regime do dissident organisations pose? The book explains the likely course of events in Iran and the region for both general readers and specialists.
'In a brilliant analysis that is cogent and clear, Howard's book on the ongoing confrontation between the US and Iran could not be more timely. It also gives some stark predictions as to the possible fallout for today's troubled world and some eminently sensible answers as to what can be done to avoid another catastrophe in the Middle East. There is no better study available. A book for the layman as well as the experts, this is a must read.' Ahmed Rashid, journalist and author of Taliban and Jihad 'This wonderfully topical book is as well researched as it is readable. It delves into the mystery and history that makes Iran the country it is today and shows it to be much more complex than the neo-cons and bible-belters in the United States affect to think..' Sir David Gore-Booth, Former Middle East Director British Foreign Office 1989-92 'A deeply informed and acute study of Iran and of American policy and reactions to that country, one which is highly readable and also fair and balanced.' The Rt Hon the Lord Gilmour of Craigmillar
Roger Howard is a British freelance journalist who has travelled widely throughout Iran. He has written extensively on issues of defense and international relations for many newspapers and journals. His work has appeared in The Daily Mail, The New Statesman, The Spectator, Middle East International, Jane's Intelligence Review and the US journal In the National Interest. He has also broadcast for BBC World Service and for television networks.