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Oil

Oil

Toby Shelley

(2008)

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Book Details

Abstract

Access to oil and natural gas, and their prices, are hugely important axes of geo-political strategy and global economic prospects and have been for a century. This book, written by a Financial Times journalist who has long covered the energy sector, provides readers with the essential information they need for understanding the shifting structure of the global oil and gas economy: where the reserves lie, who produces what, trade patterns, consumption trends, prices.

The book highlights political and social issues in the global energy sector -- the domestic inequality, civil conflict and widespread poverty that dependence on oil exports inflicts on developing countries and the strategies of wealthy countries (especially the United States) to control oil-rich regions.

Energy demand is on a strong upward trend. The reality of the environmental damage caused by fossil fuels cannot be doubted. What are likely to be the human consequences: changing disease vectors, unprecedented flooding, mass migration? And what is to be done both in the wealthy countries where consumerism drives increasing growth in demand and in developing countries aiming to grow their economies faster? Are alternative energy sources a panacea? Or will the much vaunted hydrogen economy still be based on oil, natural gas and coal?

Here is a book that addresses what is perhaps the most pervasive and destabilizing of the issues facing humanity.


Toby Shelley has reported from many countries in the Middle East, North Africa and sub-Saharan Africa over the course of twenty years as a journalist. He works for the Financial Times. Previously he was regional energy news editor for Dow Jones Newswires. He contributes regularly to Middle East International. His most recent book is Endgame in the Western Sahara: What Future for Africa's Last Colony? (Zed Books, 2004).

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
Cover cover
Contents v
List of tables vii
Introduction: Oil and natural gas: the issues\r 1
1. Insatiable demand and the quest for supply 5
Feeding frenzy 7
Production now and for the future 10
Financing the consumption boom 15
2. Conflict, poverty, inequality: the mixed blessing of oil 27
The revenue roller-coaster 28
Smoothing the ride 30
Bitter harvest from ‘sowing the oil’ 33
Dutch disease and wasted windfalls 35
Oil and poverty 40
The petro-economies and the scramble for spoils 42
Rent allocation and corruption: shades of grey 50
Oil and civil conflict 55
Local versus national government 69
Oil and labour 71
Cross-border tensions 77
3. Oil security and global strategy 82
Cold War years 85
Producers to the fore 88
The IEA: meeting collective action with collective action 95
Garrisoning the Middle East 100
‘War on terror’: new name, same policy 103
Securing the Caspian or opening Pandora’s box? 105
Targets galore 110
China: tomorrow’s bogeyman 114
Security through diversification: chasing a chimera 117
Controlling Iraq, replacing Saudi Arabia? 122
4. Petronationalism 127
OPEC: the producers stake their claim 129
From bear pit to central bank 135
Return of the companies 140
An OPEC for natural gas producers? 144
Rise of the new consumers 148
5. ‘Alternatives’ to oil: environmental and ‘security’ imperatives 154
Kyoto: up to the top of the hill (and down again) 159
The cost of cleaning up emissions 161
War gaming meets global warming 164
‘Alternatives’: blurring security and sustainability 165
Evaluating the ‘alternatives’ 168
Hydrogen economy: another hydrocarbon economy? 173
Conclusion: Posing the questions 178
Notes 198
Index 211