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Abstract
In recent years, it has become apparent that South-South economic relations are increasing, and will continue to do so. There will be more trade agreements and more trade, more economic alliances and more political alliances with economic goals, more investment flows and an increasing acknowledgement that the Global South has more to offer than it has in the past. These new economics relations have great potential, both for harm and for good. In the absence of directed policies and intentional actors, imbalances of power and growing gaps in development will persist. With the right policies in place, however, these relationships could forge a new global order with greater economic and political equality.
Covering a wide range of topics, including regional trade integration in Africa, the environmental impact of increased South-South trade, the changing patterns of South-South investment, and the effect of conflict on trade in South Asia, this ground-breaking volume presents an analysis of South-South economic relations, and how they might impact and be impacted by the rest of the world.
Adil Najam is the vice chancellor of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), Pakistan. Until 2011 he was the Frederick S. Pardee professor of global public policy at Boston University and the director of the Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future. Professor Najam was a lead author for the Third and Fourth Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC), work for which the IPCC was awarded the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize. In 2009 he was selected by the United Nations secretary-general to serve on the UN Committee on Development (CDP). In 2010, he was awarded the Sitara-i-Imtiaz, one of Pakistan’s highest civil awards, and in 2011 he was elected as a trustee of WWF-International.
Rachel Thrasher is a research fellow in the Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future at Boston University.
'South-South relations will no doubt be a major driver of global change in the twenty-first century. This volume, delving deep into the motives driving these relations, their intended and unintended consequences, and the diversity of arrangements that are emerging, is a rich collection of insights that raises many questions for a future research agenda.'
Sakiko Fukuda-Parr, Professor of International Affairs, The New School
'As the Northern economic engine falters, South-South economic relationships are becoming increasingly significant for the development prospects of poor countries. This important collection is therefore extremely timely. It provides a comprehensive and subtle analysis of burgeoning S-S links within and between regions, pointing to effects (both positive and negative) on the major players as well as the less developed countries, in relation to patterns of development and environmental matters. The book provides a range of extremely useful empirical material on this complex and highly relevant issue.'
Professor Frances Stewart, University of Oxford
'This comprehensive collection of compelling analytical contributions from North and South paints a broad canvas of critical issues in South-South cooperation. By openly addressing growing imbalances and conflicting interests among developing countries, the volume helps to demystify Southern cooperation as panacea to an unjust global economy. But going beyond the rhetoric of solidarity, the publication informs scholars as well as policy-makers about the significant potential of South-South interactions for inclusive sustainable development if policy frameworks and market incentives are adequately designed.'
Dr Thomas Fues, German Development Institute
'This book is both important and timely, as it highlights some new compulsions for greater South-South cooperation: growing disillusionment with multilateral trade negotiations, shrinking markets in the North following the 2008 financial crisis and a younger and more dynamic workforce compared to an ageing population in the North. It also identifies the obstacles that must be overcome to realize the full potential of South-South cooperation and build an alternative global trade regime that is more resilient, inclusive and sustainable.'
Sartaj Aziz, Former Finance and Foreign Minister to Pakistan
'Congratulations to Adil Najam and Rachel Thrasher. This is a major new addition to global knowledge about the important topic of South-South economic relations. The subjects covered deal with critical questions around development, international relations, political science and environmental sustainability, which are made accessible through applied regional and country case studies. Bringing together a diverse range of authors, this volume will be welcomed by students, practitioners and policymakers alike, looking for a clear and concise overview of key issues and challenges facing the world today.'
Jeni Klugman, Director of Gender and Development, The World Bank, Washington DC, and Former Director of the Global Human Development Report (2009-11), UNDP
'An excellent book if you wish to catch-up on the emerging dynamics of South-South cooperation, plus learn about the new challenges and limitations that this model faces in the realm of trade, investment and economic cooperation when today's markets are expected to prevail over several other considerations.'
Sachin Chaturvedi, Senior Fellow, Research and Information System for Developing Countries
Table of Contents
Section Title | Page | Action | Price |
---|---|---|---|
About the editors | i | ||
Title page | iii | ||
Copyright page | iv | ||
Table of contents | v | ||
Figures and tables | vi | ||
Figures | vi | ||
1.1 Number of regional trade agreements (RTAs) in effect by year | 15 | ||
1.2 Spaghetti bowl of PTAs in the Western hemisphere | 16 | ||
2.1 Dynamics of intra-African exports by region, 1980–2008 | 44 | ||
2.2 Dynamics of intra-African imports by region, 1980–2008 | 44 | ||
2.3 African South–South exports, 1980–2008 | 47 | ||
3.1 An emerging East Asian community | 61 | ||
4.1 The SAARC–SAPTA/SAFTA interface | 75 | ||
4.2 Tariff reductions across regions (1986–2002) | 78 | ||
4.3 Stability index | 81 | ||
4.4 The process in reverse | 82 | ||
5.1 Developed and developing countries’ involvement in WTO panels (1995–2010) | 103 | ||
5.2 Composition of WTO panels according to country member category (1995–2012) | 104 | ||
6.1 Evolution of outward foreign direct investment by group of origin | 113 | ||
6.2 Selected South countries’ OFDI flows, 1980–2008 | 113 | ||
6.3 Indian OFDI stock: main South destinations | 115 | ||
7.a1 Brazilian trade balance, 1990–2011 | 147 | ||
7.a2 Brazilian trade balance with developing countries, 1990–2011 | 148 | ||
7.a3 Brazilian trade balance with developing countries, 1990–2011 | 148 | ||
7.a4 Brazilian trade balance with G20 members, 1990–2011 | 149 | ||
7.a5 Brazilian trade balance with G20 members, 1990–2011 | 149 | ||
7.a6 Brazilian trade balance with BRICs (incl. South Africa), 1990–2011 | 150 | ||
7.a7 Brazilian trade balance with BRICs (incl. South Africa), 1990–2011 | 150 | ||
7.a8 China’s contribution to Brazilian exports to developing countries, 1990–2011 | 151 | ||
7.a9 China’s contribution to Brazilian imports from developing countries, 1990–2011 | 152 | ||
7.a10 Individual contributions to Brazilian exports to BRICS, 1990–2011 | 153 | ||
7.a11 Individual contribution to Brazilian imports from BRICs, 1990–2011 | 154 | ||
7.a12 Brazilian trade balance with BRICs in relation to developing countries,1990–2011 | 155 | ||
7.a13 Brazilian trade balance with developed countries, 1990–2011 | 155 | ||
7.a14 Brazilian trade balance with developed countries, 1990–2011 | 156 | ||
7.a15 Brazilian exports, developing versus developed countries, 1990–2011 | 156 | ||
7.a16 Brazilian imports, developing versus developed countries, 1990–2011 | 157 | ||
7.a17 Brazilian export balance with selected countries (1990–2011) | 158 | ||
7.a18 Brazilian import balance with selected countries (1990–2011) | 159 | ||
7.a19 Brazilian FDI, 2001–08 | 160 | ||
7.a20 Brazilian direct investment abroad, 2001–08 | 160 | ||
8.1 Volume of trade between Brazil and its CAN neighbours, 1992–2009 | 170 | ||
8.2 Volume of trade between Brazil and its Mercosur neighbours, 1992–2008 | 171 | ||
8.3 Brazil’s total trade with India, South Africa and Argentina, 1992–2008 | 175 | ||
9.1 Manufacturing exports, billions of current dollars | 192 | ||
10.1 GCC trade with India | 203 | ||
10.2 GCC trade with China | 203 | ||
10.3 India’s trade with GCC countries | 204 | ||
10.4 China’s trade with GCC countries | 204 | ||
10.5 Shares of India and China in Saudi Arabian imports | 205 | ||
10.6 Shares of India and China in UAE imports | 205 | ||
10.7 Shares of India and China in Saudi Arabian exports | 206 | ||
10.8 Shares of India and China in UAE exports | 206 | ||
Tables | vii | ||
1.1 The ‘new regionalism’ in the Americas | 13 | ||
1.2 ‘Post-liberal’ regional blocs | 19 | ||
1.3 Evolution of intra-regional trade flows | 24 | ||
1.a1 RTAs in the Americas | 28 | ||
2.1 Major regional economic communities in Africa | 40 | ||
2.2 Intra-African trade by RECs, percentage of total trade | 45 | ||
2.3 African South–South aggregate trade, percentage of total trade | 47 | ||
2.4 African South–South trade by country, percentage of total country trade | 48 | ||
3.1 Proposed East Asian Community in relation to the EU and NAFTA in 2008 | 63 | ||
4.1 Intra-regional trade comparisons | 80 | ||
5.1 Proliferation of developing country coalitions in the GATT/WTO, 1973–2007 | 96 | ||
6.1 Top OFDI sources in terms of stock, 2008 | 114 | ||
6.2 Indian OFDI stock, 1976–86 | 116 | ||
6.3 Indian OFDI stock, 1996–2009 | 117 | ||
6.4 1986 Brazilian OFDI accumulated flows by destination | 120 | ||
6.5 Brazilian OFDI stock, 2001 and 2008 | 122 | ||
6.6 Major acquisitions, 1993–2000, by value | 123 | ||
6.7 Largest greenfield FDI projects, 2002–04 | 124 | ||
6.a1 Major acquisitions by Indian companies, 2001–June 2009 | 129 | ||
6.a2 Major acquisitions by Brazilian companies, 2000–08 | 129 | ||
8.1 Comparative outcomes for the emerging powers and the OECD | 164 | ||
9.1 Growth and reform in China and LAC, 1980–2010 | 180 | ||
9.2 Five countries, eight sectors, dominate LAC trade to China | 182 | ||
9.3 Share of China exports in selected countries and sectors, 2008 | 183 | ||
9.4 Chinese FDI in Latin America: major projects and motivations | 184 | ||
9.5 Selected major Chinese services contracts in LAC | 188 | ||
9.6 China: taking away the (manufacturing) ladder? Percentage of world manufacturing exports | 194 | ||
9.7 Exports to the world, percentage under ‘threat’ from China | 196 | ||
10.1 Bilateral investment treaties | 207 | ||
10.2 Estimates of total foreign assets in December 2006 | 208 | ||
Abbreviations | ix | ||
Introduction | 1 | ||
South–South economic cooperation: historical understanding | 2 | ||
Recent trends in South–South economic cooperation | 3 | ||
Understanding the future of South–South economic relations | 4 | ||
Conclusion | 9 | ||
References | 10 | ||
1 Latin American economic cooperation: causes and consequences of regime complexity | 11 | ||
The changing landscape of regional trade and economic cooperation in the Americas | 12 | ||
Table 1.1 The ‘new regionalism’ in the Americas | 13 | ||
Figure 1.1 Number of RTAs in effect by year | 15 | ||
Figure 1.2 Spaghetti bowl of PTAs in the Western hemisphere | 16 | ||
Table 1.2 ‘Post-liberal’ regional blocs | 19 | ||
The causes of RTA proliferation and regime complexity in the Americas | 19 | ||
The consequences of RTA proliferation and regime complexity | 23 | ||
Table 1.3 Evolution of intra-regional trade flows: intra-regional trade coefficient | 24 | ||
Conclusions | 26 | ||
Appendix | 28 | ||
Notes | 31 | ||
References | 31 | ||
2 African trade and economic integration: longer-range prospects | 34 | ||
African trade and economic integration in historical perspective | 35 | ||
The nature and structure of trade and regional economic integration in Africa | 38 | ||
Table 2.1 Major regional economic communities in Africa | 40 | ||
Assessment of intra-African economic integration and trade performance | 43 | ||
Figure 2.1 Dynamics of intra-African exports by region, 1980–2008 | 44 | ||
Figure 2.2 Dynamics of intra-African imports by region, 1980–2008 | 44 | ||
Table 2.2 Intra-African trade by RECs, percentage of total trade | 45 | ||
Figure 2.3 African South–South exports, 1980–2008 | 47 | ||
Table 2.3 African South–South aggregate trade, percentage of total trade | 47 | ||
Table 2.4 African South–South trade by country, percentage of total country trade | 48 | ||
Longer-range future prospects for trade and economic integration in Africa | 49 | ||
Policy recommendations for accelerating trade and economic integration in Africa | 53 | ||
Conclusion | 55 | ||
Notes | 56 | ||
References | 56 | ||
3 Financial crisis and regional economic cooperation in Asia-Pacific | 58 | ||
Impetus for regional economic cooperation in Asia | 59 | ||
Emerging patterns of regional economic integration in Asia and the case for broader arrangements | 59 | ||
Figure 3.1 An emerging East Asian community | 61 | ||
Table 3.1 Proposed East Asian Community in relation to the EU and NAFTA in 2008 | 63 | ||
Gains from economic integration in the EAS framework | 63 | ||
Priority areas for cooperation for EAS | 66 | ||
A coordinated approach to reforms in global economic governance | 69 | ||
Concluding remarks | 70 | ||
Notes | 71 | ||
References | 71 | ||
4 Regional trade integration and conflict resolution: an institutional paradigm | 73 | ||
Figure 4.1 The SAARC–SAPTA/SAFTA interface | 75 | ||
Research question | 75 | ||
South Asian RTAs: mapping South Asian regional trade agreements | 76 | ||
Do RTAs promote peace? | 77 | ||
Figure 4.2 Tariff reductions across regions (1986–2002) | 78 | ||
Table 4.1 Intra-regional trade comparisons | 80 | ||
Does conflict constrain trade? | 81 | ||
Figure 4.3 Stability index | 81 | ||
Figure 4.4 The process in reverse | 82 | ||
The dominant-country paradigm | 84 | ||
Looking to the future | 87 | ||
Notes | 87 | ||
References | 88 | ||
5 Developing countries at the WTO in a changing global order | 91 | ||
Motivations behind developing country coalitions | 92 | ||
Developing country coalitions in the Doha Round | 94 | ||
Table 5.1 Proliferation of developing country coalitions in the GATT/WTO, 1973–2007 | 96 | ||
Participation with teeth: developing countries and WTO dispute settlement | 100 | ||
Figure 5.1 Developed and developing countries’ involvement in WTO panels (1995–2010) | 103 | ||
Figure 5.2 Composition of WTO panels according to country member category (1995–2012) | 104 | ||
Final remarks | 106 | ||
Notes | 107 | ||
References | 108 | ||
6 South–South foreign direct investment flows: wishful thinking or reality? | 111 | ||
More than three decades of South investment | 112 | ||
Figure 6.1 Evolution of outward foreign direct investment by group of origin | 113 | ||
Figure 6.2 Selected South countries’ OFDI flows, 1980–2008 | 113 | ||
Table 6.1 Top OFDI sources in terms of stock, 2008 | 114 | ||
India case study | 115 | ||
Figure 6.3 Indian OFDI stock: main South destinations | 115 | ||
Table 6.2 Indian OFDI stock: 1976–86 | 116 | ||
Table 6.3 Indian OFDI stock, 1996–2009 | 117 | ||
Brazil case study | 119 | ||
Table 6.4 1986 Brazilian OFDI accumulated flows by destination | 120 | ||
Table 6.5 Brazilian OFDI stock, 2001 and 2008 | 122 | ||
Table 6.6 Major acquisitions, 1993–2000, by value | 123 | ||
Table 6.7 Largest greenfield FDI projects, 2002–04 | 124 | ||
Development effects of South–South investments | 126 | ||
Conclusions | 127 | ||
Appendix | 129 | ||
Notes | 130 | ||
References | 130 | ||
7 Brazil: South–South economic relations and global governance | 132 | ||
Brazil and South–South trade relations: an overview | 132 | ||
Challenges of forging mechanisms of economic governance | 143 | ||
Concluding remarks | 146 | ||
Notes | 147 | ||
Reference | 147 | ||
Annexe: figures and graphs | 147 | ||
8 South–South trade and the environment | 161 | ||
Trade and the environment: an overview | 162 | ||
Table 8.1 Comparative outcomes for the emerging powers and the OECD | 164 | ||
Trading up: from the United States to China | 166 | ||
Trading down: Brazil in South America | 169 | ||
Figure 8.1 Volume of trade between Brazil and its CAN neighbours, 1992–2009 | 170 | ||
Figure 8.2 Volume of trade between Brazil and its Mercosur neighbours, 1992–2008 | 171 | ||
Trading across: Brazil with India and South Africa (IBSA) | 173 | ||
Figure 8.3 Brazil’s total trade with India, South Africa and Argentina, 1992–2008 | 175 | ||
Conclusions | 176 | ||
Notes | 177 | ||
References | 177 | ||
9 Latin America and China: trading short-term growth for (China’s) long-run prosperity | 180 | ||
Table 9.1 Growth and reform in China and LAC, 1980–2010 | 180 | ||
Trade and investment | 181 | ||
Table 9.2 Five countries, eight sectors, dominate LAC trade to China (2009) | 182 | ||
Table 9.3 Share of China exports in selected countries and sectors, 2008 | 183 | ||
Table 9.4 Chinese FDI in Latin America: major projects and motivations | 184 | ||
Formal economic cooperation | 187 | ||
Table 9.5 Selected major Chinese services contracts in LAC | 188 | ||
Implications for the longer-run future | 190 | ||
Figure 9.1 Manufacturing exports, billions of current dollars | 192 | ||
Table 9.6 China: taking away the (manufacturing) ladder? Percentage of world manufacturing exports | 194 | ||
Table 9.7 Exports to the world, percentage under ‘threat’ from China | 196 | ||
Summary and conclusions | 196 | ||
Notes | 197 | ||
References | 198 | ||
10 Growing economic relations between the GCC and Chindia | 200 | ||
The origins of mutual attraction | 201 | ||
Trade relations | 202 | ||
Figure 10.1 GCC trade with India (billion $US) | 203 | ||
Figure 10.2 GCC trade with China ($US billions) | 203 | ||
Figure 10.3 India’s trade with GCC countries ($US billions) | 204 | ||
Figure 10.4 China’s trade with GCC countries ($US billions) | 204 | ||
Figure 10.5 Shares of India and China in Saudi Arabian imports (%) | 205 | ||
Figure 10.6 Shares of India and China in UAE imports (%) | 205 | ||
Figure 10.7 Shares of India and China in Saudi Arabian exports (%) | 206 | ||
Figure 10.8 Shares of India and China in UAE exports (%) | 206 | ||
Investment relations | 207 | ||
Table 10.1 Bilateral investment treaties | 207 | ||
Table 10.2 Estimates of total foreign assets in December 2006 ($US billions) | 208 | ||
Asian migrant workers in the GCC | 215 | ||
What lies ahead for GCC –Chindia economic ties? | 216 | ||
Notes | 219 | ||
References | 220 | ||
Contributors | 222 | ||
Index | 225 |