Menu Expand
Inclusive Growth, Full Employment, and Structural Change

Inclusive Growth, Full Employment, and Structural Change

Jesus Felipe

(2012)

Additional Information

Book Details

Abstract

‘Inclusive Growth, Full Employment, and Structural Change: Implications and Policies for Developing Asia’ discusses policies to achieve inclusive growth in developing Asia, including those relating to agriculture, investment, certain state interventions, monetary, fiscal, and the role of the state as employer of last resort. Felipe argues that in order to deliver inclusive growth, Asian leaders must commit to the goal of full employment.


'I highly recommend this book as an excellent contribution to development economics and as an extension of the work on the Employer-of-Last-Resort approach to full employment policy to the developing countries.' —L. Randall Wray, University of Missouri-Kansas City


'If only because it gives due attention to full employment as a driving force of growth, and for its emphasis on Keynes, Kalecki, and Kaldor, this book is a must-read. Jesus Felipe argues rightly that developing countries need to coordinate policies in several areas to achieve full employment. The policy conclusions are provocative, thoughtful, compassionate, and realistic.' —Salim Rashid, University of Illinois


Jesus Felipe is Principal Economist with the Central and West Asia Department of the Asian Development Bank, Manila, Philippines. His books include 'Labor Markets in Asia: Issues and Perspectives' (London, 2006).


'Jesus Felipe has unrivalled knowledge of the economies of Asia and of the challenge of employment creation. The book is essential reading for all those concerned with unemployment and poverty in developing countries. It is a beautiful and impressive blend of impeccable theory, fascinating empirics, and personal passion.' —Tony Thirlwall, University of Kent


'Inclusive Growth, Full Employment, and Structural Change: Implications and Policies for Developing Asia' discusses policies to achieve inclusive growth in developing Asia, including agriculture, investment, certain state interventions, monetary, fiscal, and the role of the state as employer of last resort.

Felipe argues that full employment of the labor force is the key to delivering inclusive growth. Full employment is the most direct way to improve the well-being of the people, especially of the most disadvantaged. Since unemployment and underemployment are pervasive in many parts of the region, Asian leaders must commit to the goal of full employment. The book also analyzes the region's phenomenal growth in recent decades in terms of structural transformation. Accelerating it is vital for the continued growth of developing Asia. But efforts to achieve full employment might be held back given that structural transformation requires massive labor shifts across sectors, and these are difficult to coordinate. Moreover, the goal of full employment was abandoned in the 1970s, and governments and central banks have since concentrated on keeping inflation low.


'Jesus Felipe provides a masterful analysis of growth in Asia by highlighting the role played by structural transformation... The road ahead for developing Asia is difficult, but this magnificent book will make the task more manageable for policy makers and analysts.' —Ricardo Hausmann, Center for International Development at Harvard University


'This book demonstrates that full employment is not only possible in policy terms but also necessary, and that it is the very underpinning of inclusive growth. Not to pursue it is to invite human pain, social and political instability, and economic underperformances.' —Duncan Campbell, International Labour Organization


'This book is a very important piece of work. Development economists as well as a wider audience with interest in development issues will benefit from it.' —Santonu Basu, Queen Mary, University of London

Table of Contents

Section Title Page Action Price
FRONT MATTER\r i
Title Page i
Copyright Page ii
Contents v
Illustrations vii
Abbreviations x
Foreword xiii
Preface and Acknowledgments xix
Executive Summary xxix
MAIN MATTER\r 1
1 What Is Inclusive Growth? 1
2 What Is the Main Constraint that Developing Countries Face? 7
3 Why Full Employment and Who Should Be Responsible for Trying to Achieve It? 17
Developing Asia’s Employment Record 26
4 Why Is Growth Unstable? 29
5 What Is the Role of Agriculture in the Process of Structural Change and in Delivering Full Employment? Full Employment I 35
6 What Is the Role of Investment in Delivering Full Employment? Full Employment II 57
7 Why Is “Planning Development” Necessary? 69
8 What Is Industrial Policy? Full Employment III 75
9 Structural Transformation, Industrialization, and Technological Change in Developing Asia: What Does the Empirical Evidence Show? 83
Structural Transformation in Developing Asia since the 1970s 84
A Logistic Regression of the Manufacturing Sector Output Share 99
The Technology Level of Developing Asia’s Manufactures 103
Structural Transformation: Intrasector Productivity Growth and Labor Relocation 123
Production Structure Similarities and Catch-Up 127
10 Why Do Export Diversification and Sophistication Matter? 157
Comparative Advantage and Diversification 157
Structural Transformation and Exports 159
The Product Space and Its Implications for Development 168
11 Unemployment Versus Inflation: Which One Should Be the Public Enemy Number One? 179
Unemployment and Inflation 179
How High Does Inflation Have to Be to Become a Problem? 182
What Causes Inflation? 184
12 What Should Be the Role of Fiscal and Monetary Policies for Development? Full Employment IV 189
How Can Policy Makers in Developing Countries Use Fiscal Policy to Achieve Full Employment? 191
Functional Finance Doctrine 193
The “Loanable Funds” Model versus Keynesian Theory 196
The Functioning of Modern Economies 200
Budget Surpluses? No, Thank You 206
Monetization and Inflation 208
Debt 209
Crowding Out 216
Bank Money 217
What Is the Role of Monetary Policy? 220
13 Is It Possible to Achieve Full Employment in the Presence of Structural Transformation? 227
14 Should the Government (Public Sector) Intervene Directly and Become the Employer of Last Resort? Full Employment V 231
15 Can Competitiveness and Globalization Deliver Inclusiveness and Full Employment? 235
16 Export-Led Growth or Domestic Demand–Led Growth? 261
How Is Export-Led Growth Usually Understood? 261
What Do Countries Gain by Following an Export-Led Growth Strategy? 263
Is a New Development Paradigm Needed? 266
How Does the People’s Republic of China Change the Argument? 273
The “Uncoupling” Thesis 276
Export-Led Growth and the Balance-of-Payments Constraint 276
17 Is Education a Key Ingredient of Inclusive Growth? 279
18 Conclusions: How Can Developing Countries Implement an Inclusive-Growth and Full-Employment Strategy?\r 289
END MATTER\r 297
References 297
Author Index 319
Subject Index 325